Gurren Lagann gnostico

lo realizzo leggendo questo articolo

La tana del bianconiglio: teorie del complotto e gnosticismo

e altre cose interessanti sul carattere gnostico di cultura pop cyber contermporanea, le pilllole rosse di Matrix, Musk e Qanon

oltre al pensatore che ci vede la gnosi in Qann abbiamo

il game developer che ci vede un ARG https://mssv.net/2020/08/02/what-args-can-teach-us-about-qanon/

il FT Alphaville che ci vede una riedizione di bitcoin https://ftalphaville.ft.com/2020/08/24/1598288383000/From-bitcoin-to-QAnon–bits-to-qbits/

https://ftalphaville.ft.com/2020/08/24/1598288383000/From-bitcoin-to-QAnon–bits-to-qbits/

il cacciatore di nazisti che ci vede i Protocolli di Sion https://www.justsecurity.org/72339/qanon-is-a-nazi-cult-rebranded/?fbclid=IwAR0FXrgcxxc4uLcaQaNroEFueqs22kRfqQCFV8tGG5nV0Qc5-_XeuRsvw7Q

Luther Blisset ci riconosce il suo Q? Devo controllare https://www.internazionale.it/reportage/wu-ming-1/2020/09/02/mondo-qanon-prima-parte

from growth to risk

1960 the year singularity was cancelled on SSC. History developed mainly in Malthusian trap, with industrialization we got out of the trap and started growing product percapita in an exponential growth. That stopped in the 60’s

German sociologist Beck sensed that capitalism was getting into its second stage, from growth to risk priority. Adam Tooze on Foreign Policy

see also Parrow with normal accidents

Noah Smith on “What happened in 1971 along the lines of singulraty cancelled in 1960. https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1306264582046937088

Assuming that the secular trend was not negated, we are simply in the through of the secular cycles, how long would be this cycle and how high would the upswing carry us ? Check also Turchin and Kondratiev for longer cycles

Turchin Cliodynamics “Cliodynamics is entirely different. Its roots are in nonlinear dynamical systems. We don’t go out looking for cycles; but we don’t shy away from them when there is robust evidence for them. In Structural-Demographic Theory, in particular, oscillations arise because of nonlinear feedbacks between different interacting components of the social system (state-level society).”

with a nice chart:

fuck wordpress and the blocks editor, BTW, when a platform interface becomes baroque for some dynamics clear only to the programmers it’s probabluy time to move, it used to be easy to add an image, no longer

Megalothymia

“Thy­mos is the side of man that deliberately seeks out struggle and sacrifice, that tries to prove that the self is something better and higher than a fearful, needy, instinctual, physically determined animal. Not all men feel this pull, but for those who do, thymos cannot be satisfied by the knowledge that they are merely equal in worth to all other human beings.”

“Those who remain dissatisfied will always have the potential to restart history,” Fukuyama observes, simply because “the virtues and ambitions called forth by war are unlikely to find expression in liberal democracies.” 

as per revolutions, started by disgruntled middle class in want of upward mobility, see also Urchin

“Those who remain dissatisfied will always have the potential to restart history,” Fukuyama observes, simply because “the virtues and ambitions called forth by war are unlikely to find expression in liberal democracies.” 

New Cold War

TikTok wars, the tech perspective https://stratechery.com/2020/the-tiktok-war/

the political eye, a former S’pore Prime Minister https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/opinion/article/3091343/china-and-us-new-cold-war-or-not-new-cold-war

funny how the technologist can go fully ideological in its conclusion while the politician sees ample rooms for continuing relations, not really a cold war, wrong metaphors shan’t be used because they might be self-fulfilling

Urchin forecast of 2020 instability

based on “structural-demographic forces for instability as popular immiseration, intraelite competition, and state weakness”

formulated here in 2010 https://www.nature.com/articles/463608a

the science behind explained here http://peterturchin.com/cliodynamica/the-science-behind-my-forecast-for-2020/

Yhe Structural-demographic model components from here https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6qp8x28p

Screenshot 2020-07-01 at 22.19.44

I just realized I bought Urchin’s book Ultrasociety already maybe 5 years https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/27867828-ultrasociety

the new book “Secular Cycles” reviewd by Scott Alexander https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3bPH2az479gzxDMbf/book-review-ages-of-discord

C’ un tenente drogo in viaggio verso le retrovie ora

gli indiani hanno costruito la strada

Screenshot 2020-06-17 at 14.07.33

verso una valle inospitale, un deserto dei tartari

Screenshot 2020-06-17 at 14.08.05

dove scorre il Galwan, incerto confine tra India e Cina https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Galwan_River

negli ultimi tempi, ammasso di trupper al confine, schermaglie a pietrate perch un trattato vieta di sparare https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/08/20/india-china-border-brawl-superpowers-throw-stones-tensions-heighten/

fino a oggi, 20 indiani morti, a pietrate e mani nude ? https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-53073338

Il Deserto dei Tartari un capolavoro che vive al di fuori del tempo

UPDATE e questo deve essere l’inizio della terza guerra mondiale combattuta come prevedeva Einstein https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-53089037

Screenshot 2020-06-18 at 14.51.45

Vaccine nationalism

a bit of vaccine news and vaccine nationalism

Moderna all in one day, last Monday, first positive results of trial, collects 1,34 billion in new stocks offering at 30 billion valuation, to be used for vaccine production https://www.fiercepharma.com/manufacturing/moderna-eyes-1-34-billion-stock-offering-to-manufacture-covid-19-vaccine

Sanofi says US will be the first to get vaccine since they invested in it https://www.businessinsider.com/potential-coronavirus-vaccine-united-states-first-french-pharmaceutical-sanofi-ceo-2020-5?IR=T

Advent will give the UK government the first 30 million doses of vaccine co-developed in Italy with IRBM https://www.irbm.com/press-review/london-reserves-30-million-doses-of-the-vaccine-born-between-oxford-and-pomezia-rome/

Let’s zoom out, The EU held a funding conference 2 weeks ago, collecting almost €8 billion. Bill Gates donated but the US was not even there, China attended but did not donate. Neither did Russia nor India attend. The world is divided in 5 blocks, each block has its own vaccine strategy

A beautiful 3d on vaccine and geopolitics by Paul Poast. Vaccine nationalism is a real risk, an aspect of the power politics of pandemics https://twitter.com/ProfPaulPoast/status/1257642933949476866

In the general uncooperative and nationalistic stance on Covid and vaccine, a country like Italy, biggest pharma producer in EU, should bet on one or more vaccine candidates and start building productive capacity. It would be an effective industrial policy and would give more chances to get the vaccine early.

Will we grab a few billions off the ESM and invest it? Or will we wait for the EU to ivenst its own 8 billions and dictate the strategy?

 

 

 

Pessimism and positive thinking

Coronavirus phase 2

pessimism: antibodies not lasting, common cold coronavirus does not generate lasting antibodies, animal coronavirus creates trouble to vaccines https://twitter.com/statesdj/status/1252698979285991424

Positive thinkng, we can make a plan, Broad testing pun intended, Broad lab in Harvard https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2020/03/broad-institute-races-to-enable-coronavirus-testing/hacked to make 1 million tampons a day,

Broad Institute races to enable coronavirus testing

 

Harvard plan to secure USA with tampons would cost 15 billion but actually worth, Roadmap to pandemic resilience https://ethics.harvard.edu/files/center-for-ethics/files/roadmaptopandemicresilience_updated_4.20.20_0.pdf

Propublia 3d on what to do: https://twitter.com/propublica/status/1253351877787467779

common sense considerations by an ex expatriate, no matter you think you re staying 6 months or 6 years make your place comfortable

phase 2 could last 12 months but also longe, a word of caution by Derek lowe. Let’s build up resilience like it could be 12 years, we won’t regret anyhow. WIn win

virus, big brother and little father

big brother 1984 Orwell

little father Josif Stalin

Korea contains the epidemic with snooping technologies and quarantine

China (and Italy) is ordering everybody home in a general lockdown

fighting a virus is at the opposite end of liberal laissez faire, fighting the epidemic requires applying some power of restriction and the target of this power unveils two different model and ideas of power.

The jury is out wheter the 2 different way of tackling the epidemic are equally effective. Korea seems to have blocked it in a shorter time with less economic damage, compared to China. Will Italy’s blockade succeed in flattening the curve ?