curves, innovation curves of all sorts

Gartner Hype cycle

jazzed up version of traditional Everett Rogers’ diffusion of innovations

this was the trigger https://twitter.com/NickPinkston/status/1278353201905823745

and this is Carlota Perez curve which puts together technology and finance in a play of coupling and decoupling in the installation and deployment phases

carlota perez cycle

I guess it owes something to Kondratiev, that originally was a theory of cycles in commodity prices over long periods (like 60-80 years)

and I wonder the relationships with Urchin Secular cycles more of 2 to 3 centuries due to demographic factors https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3bPH2az479gzxDMbf/book-review-ages-of-discord

Screenshot 2020-07-16 at 14.48.10

 

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