The new normal (Covid edition)

How is going to be after we contain the epidemic ?

Pandemics don’t go away with the season, not for good, expect to see a new outbreak in Autumn

This is what this simulation says https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf and it hypothesizes a policy framework like thisScreenshot 2020-03-17 at 21.33.48

suppression strategies to cap ICU cases and preserve public health, awaiting a vaccine 18 months away

This is also what we know from a previous pandemic, the Asian Flu. Not quite a coronavirus but both rhinoviruses, quite as deadly and infectious although the Asian would kill the elder and the little kinds with Covid19 kills only the former.

It had 2 peaks in USA, in September and February and raged for 3 year in total

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